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Sep 8, 2025
Albemarle Targets Positive Free Cash Flow for 2025
Image Source: TradingView. For the first half of 2025, Albemarle’s cash flow from operations increased $73 million to $538 million, and as management noted, the company expects to achieve positive free cash flow for the full year 2025 assuming current lithium market pricing persists. Albemarle reduced its capital expenditure outlook to the range of $650-$700 million. Assuming $9/kg LCE average lithium market price for 2025, net sales is targeted in the range of $4.9-$5.2 billion, with adjusted EBITDA in the range of $0.8-$1 billion. Albemarle exited the quarter with estimated liquidity of approximately $3.4 billion. We like Albemarle’s upside potential from here, as operations remain depressed from low lithium pricing. The company remains an idea in the ESG Newsletter portfolio. Sep 2, 2025
Republic Services Remains a Cash Cow
Image Source: TradingView. Year-to-date, Republic Services’ cash flow from operations was $2.13 billion while year-to-date adjusted free cash flow was $1.42 billion. Year-to-date, Republic has invested $888 million in acquisitions. Year-to-date cash returned to shareholders was $407 million, consisting of $45 million of buybacks and $362 million of dividends paid. For full year 2025, Republic now expects revenue in the range of $16.675-$16.75 billion and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $5.275-$5.325 billion. Adjusted diluted earnings per share is reiterated in the range of $6.82-$6.90 for the year, while adjusted free cash flow is now targeted in the range of $2.375-$2.415 billion. We continue to like Republic Services in the newsletter portfolios. Aug 28, 2025
Best Buy Puts Up Best Comp Growth in Three Years
Image Source: TradingView. We liked that Best Buy put up its strongest comparable store sales growth in the past three years, with domestic comparable online sales growth of 5.1%, lapping a decline of 1.6% in last year’s quarter. As a percentage of total domestic revenue, online revenue now accounts for 32.8% versus 31.5% last year. For the six month period ended August 2, cash flow from operations was $783 million, while capital spending was $341 million, resulting in free cash flow of $442 million, higher than its cash dividends paid of $403 million over the same time period. Best Buy covers dividends paid while it boasts a net cash position on the balance sheet. Shares yield 5% at the time of this writing. Aug 28, 2025
AT&T Is Targeting Free Cash Flow in the Low-to-Mid $16 Billion Range for 2025
Image Source: TradingView. Looking to the full year 2025, AT&T expects consolidated service revenue growth in the low-single-digit range, with mobility service revenue growth of 3% or better and consumer fiber broadband revenue growth in the mid-to-high teens. For the year, AT&T is targeting adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% or better, with mobility EBITDA growth of roughly 3%, business wireline EBITDA lower by a low-double-digit range, and consumer wireline EBITDA growth in the low-to-mid-teens range. Free cash flow for 2025 is expected in the low-to-mid $16 billion range, while adjusted earnings per share is targeted in the range of $1.97-$2.07. We like AT&T but can’t get comfortable with its total debt load of $132.3 billion. We remain on the sidelines. Shares yield 3.8% at the time of this writing. Aug 27, 2025
Nvidia Shines in Second Quarter of Fiscal 2026
Image Source: Nvidia. Looking to the third quarter of fiscal 2026, Nvidia expects revenue to be $54.0 billion, plus or minus 2%, an outlook that does not assume any H20 shipments to China. Consensus was at $52.76 billion. In the fiscal third quarter, GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 73.3% and 73.5%, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points. The firm expects to end the year with non-GAAP gross margins in the mid-70% range. Nvidia continues to power the market higher, and while results weren’t as bullish as some were expecting, they were strong, nonetheless. Aug 21, 2025
Walmart Raises Outlook for Fiscal 2026
Image Source: Walmart. Looking ahead, Walmart issued guidance for the third quarter, with net sales expected to increase 3.75%-4.75% and operating income to increase 3%-6%. For fiscal 2026, the company raised its outlook for net sales growth to the range of 3.75%-4.75% (was 3%-4%) and adjusted earnings per share in the range of $2.52-$2.62 (was $2.50-$2.60) versus the $2.62 consensus mark. Walmart’s guidance for adjusted operating income growth of 3.5%-5.5% remained unchanged. We liked the guidance revisions at Walmart, but we remain cautious on the tariff impact on its business given an unchanged adjusted operating income growth target, despite a better top-line view. The high end of our fair value range stands at $113 per share. Aug 19, 2025
Home Depot’s Comps Turn Positive in Second Quarter
Image Source: TradingView. At the end of the second quarter, Home Depot had $2.8 billion in cash and cash equivalents, while total debt stood at $52.3 billion. For the six months ended August 3, net cash provided by operating activities was $9 billion, down from $10.9 billion in the year-ago period. Looking to guidance for 2025, management expects total sales growth of approximately 2.8%, with comparable sales growth of roughly 1% for the comparable 52-week period. It expects to add approximately 13 new stores. Home Depot’s guidance for 2025 calls for a gross margin of 33.4%, with an adjusted operating margin of roughly 13.4%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share is expected to decline 2% from $15.24 in fiscal 2024. Though Home Depot’s second quarter wasn’t blockbuster, it was good to see comparable store sales inflect. Shares yield 2.3% at the time of this writing. Aug 18, 2025
Phillips 66’s 2027 Strategic Priorities Look Achievable
Image Source: Phillips 66. At the end of the quarter, Phillips 66 had $1.1 billion of cash and cash equivalents on the books and $3.7 billion of committed capacity available under credit facilities. The company ended the quarter with $20.9 billion in total debt, and a net debt-to-capital ratio of 41%. On the call, management noted that it was on track to achieve the $4.5 billion annual EBITDA target in Midstream by 2027. Also by that year, Phillips 66 expects to see its adjusted cost per barrel number below $5.50 per barrel on an annual basis. We like Phillips 66’s 2027 strategic priorities, especially in that it targets a “secure, competitive & growing dividend.” Shares yield 3.9% at the time of this writing. Aug 17, 2025
Cisco Systems Reports Strong Fiscal Fourth Quarter
Image Source: TradingView. For all of fiscal 2026, Cisco is targeting revenue in the range of $59-$60 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $4.00-$4.06, in-line with consensus. Cisco ended the quarter with $16.1 billion of cash and investments on its books and $28.1 billion in short- and long-term debt. We continue to like Cisco and the momentum behind its AI Infrastructure orders. The company remains a holding in the newsletter portfolios. Shares yield 2.5% at the time of this writing.
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Image Source: Tesla. Tesla’s cash flow from operating activities was $2.54 billion in the quarter, while it spent $2.4 billion in capex, resulting in free cash flow of $146 million. Its cash and investment balance was up 20% from last year, to $36.8 billion. All things considered, Tesla’s second quarter results weren’t great. The company experienced a decline in vehicle deliveries, lower regulatory credit revenue, reduced vehicle pricing, and a decline in Energy Generation and Storage revenue due to lower average sales prices. Meanwhile, operating income was impacted from higher operating expenses driven by AI and other R&D projects. We remain on the sidelines.