Member LoginDividend CushionValue Trap
|
Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for
any changes.
Jul 27, 2019
We Just Can’t Justify Starbucks’ Lofty Valuation, Even After Its Great Quarter
Image Shown: The red dot signifies where shares of SBUX are trading at as of midday trading on July 26. Shares of Starbucks are trading well above the top end of our Fair Value Range. We just can’t see a way to justify its current lofty valuation other than, to quote Alan Greenspan, irrational exuberance. While Starbucks has a promising growth trajectory ahead of it, we see its valuation as stretched after updating our model. The top end of our fair value estimate range stands at $89/share, well below where SBUX is trading at as of this writing. Jun 11, 2019
Beyond Meat’s Market: $5 Billion or $1.5 Trillion?
Image: The Beyond Burger accounted for about 70% of the company’s sales in 2018. Source: S-1. The big question: how big is Beyond Meat’s opportunity? Is it $5 billion or $1.5 trillion? Jun 5, 2019
Cracker Barrel 's Lofty (and Hidden) Dividend Yield
Image Source: Cracker Barrel Presentation (10/17). We continue to like Cracker Barrel as an idea in the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio. Its special dividends fly under the radar, offering those that are willing to dig a bit deeper in the analysis a nice reward. Apr 26, 2019
Facebook Was Textbook, Intel Still About Fairly Valued After Weakness
Image: Best Ideas Newsletter portfolio holding Facebook's stock has advanced 56% since it bottomed in December. This is yet another textbook execution of the Valuentum Buying Index, a strong breakout of the downtrend on a significantly undervalued stock. See also the example with Apple on page 241 in Value Trap: Theory of Universal Valuation. Apr 22, 2019
PepsiCo Fights off Forex Headwinds as it Gets Ready to Take on Amazon
Image Source: PepsiCo Inc -- IR Presentation.As PepsiCo is trading at the upper end of our fair value estimate range and sports a good (but not stellar) dividend growth trajectory, we still prefer ideas in the simulated newsletter portfolios instead. Feb 7, 2019
Earnings Roundup: Fast Food and Coffee
Image Source: Phillip Pessar. Let’s take a look at some of the biggest restaurant operators in the fast food and coffee space. Established players continue to refranchise their massive global chains, and innovation in the digital channel may ultimately separate some from the pack. Nov 8, 2018
Comps Accelerate and Margins Expand in Chipotle’s Third Quarter
Image Source: Mike Mozart. The once beaten down fast casual restaurant chain Chipotle is back to delivering solid comparable restaurant sales growth thanks to menu price increases, and restaurant level operating margin expanded significantly as lower marketing and promotional spending was required to appease cautious consumers. Sep 20, 2018
In The News: 10-Year Treasury Yield, Wage Pressure in Restaurants, Cannabis Volatility
Let’s take a look at some of the hottest topics around the markets. Aug 17, 2018
ICYMI -- Podcast: 2nd Annual Nelson Exclusive Yearly Round Up Call
President of Investment Research at Valuentum Brian Nelson talks the markets, valuations, the economy, the consumer and various other trends from crude oil to cryptocurrency to geopolitical risks to corporate tax reform and beyond. Running time ~25 minutes. The High Yield Dividend Newsletter, Best Ideas
Newsletter, Dividend Growth Newsletter, Nelson Exclusive publication, and any reports, articles and content found on
this website are for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any
security. The sources of the data used on this website are believed by Valuentum to be reliable, but the data’s
accuracy, completeness or interpretation cannot be guaranteed. Valuentum is not responsible for any errors or
omissions or for results obtained from the use of its newsletters, reports, commentary, or publications and accepts
no liability for how readers may choose to utilize the content. Valuentum is not a money manager, is not a
registered investment advisor and does not offer brokerage or investment banking services. Valuentum, its employees,
and affiliates may have long, short or derivative positions in the stock or stocks mentioned on this site.
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
Image Source: Valuentum's 16-page Report of McDonald's. We can’t get anywhere close to McDonald’s share price with our discounted cash-flow valuation process. That doesn’t mean that shares are destined to fall, but it may indicate that the stock has pulled forward future returns. In any case, investors in McDonald’s should be cautious.