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Fundamental data is updated weekly, as of the prior weekend. Please download the Full Report and Dividend Report for any changes.
Feb 8, 2018
The Turnaround at Novartis Has Begun
Image Source: Novartis. We believe Novartis is poised to accelerate from the patent cliff caused by the loss of protection of Gleevec, its former top-selling product. The company has a stellar dividend growth history, and the market is anticipating a turnaround once it anniversaries the patent cliff.
Jan 24, 2018
Airlines to Start a Price War?
Some have said the airline industry has changed. We’ve always been cautious on the structural characteristics of the airline business, and United Continental has reminded us why.
Jan 23, 2018
GlaxoSmithKline: Not All Dividends Are Created Equal
Many seeking ideas to generate dividend income may be drawn to slow-growing entities with large dividend yields. However, without proper examination of the balance sheet and competitive position, an investor may enter a position banking on a steady dividend stream only to be caught by a sudden cut in the dividend. It is growing increasingly likely that GlaxoSmithKline may be ready to sacrifice the dividend on the altar in the name of additional M&A, in our view.
Jan 22, 2018
Gilead Sciences’ HCV Guidance Is the Star of the Show
Image Source: Gilead. Shares of Gilead Science have been held hostage due to the vagaries of the HCV business. The shares blasted through $100 as the initial sales ramp for its suite of HCV meds took the market by storm. The record revenues posted in 2015 proved to be unsustainable, however, as the curative nature of the treatment meaningfully decreased the eligible pool of patients much to the benefit of society. The Street subsequently punished shares of Gilead as the equity made a near roundtrip back down the high $60’s. The investment community has maintained a near-maniacal obsession with the HCV pipeline with the latest fear of a new competitor stealing share. Let's examine these key points a bit further.
Jan 2, 2018
2018 Healthcare and Biotech Outlook
Image Source: Global Panorama. 2017 will undoubtedly go down as one of the most fabulous years for the stock market, and while we continue to warn of the dangers associated with the market continuing to trade at lofty valuations, we are intrigued by the outlook for big cap pharma and biotech in the near term. Changes in the US tax laws will likely have a profound impact on the industry.
Nov 29, 2017
Strategy Versus Tactics in the Dividend Growth Newsletter Portfolio
Image Source: fauxto_digit. We made a few tactical tweaks to the Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio during 2017. Let’s walk through them, and how we’re out to win the war, not win every battle.
Nov 17, 2017
Celgene Implodes
The pharma/biotech industry operates in a boom-bust environment where the market cap of a company can post a meteoric rise or suffer a precipitous fall based on the data published from recently completed clinical trials. The industry remains one of the most innovative fields, but the quest for new products leads to constant disruption and a subsequent spike in volatility. Of late, the volatility pendulum for Celgene has swung in favor of the bears with the company posting a costly phase 3 failure.
Oct 31, 2017
Novartis Gearing Up for Growth
 Image Source: Novartis. Dividend Growth Newsletter portfolio idea Novartis continues to grow its free cash flow stream while producing a string of products still in the infancy of their respective growth curves. The pharma/biotech realm remains bedeviled with patent issues that can disrupt cash flow generation once protection is lost, causing us to look for companies positioned for a fresh leg of growth. To that end, let’s take a look at Novartis’ pipeline, near-term potential, and how it relates to its dividend health.
Oct 5, 2017
Competitive Pressures Not Going Away for Teva
Image Source: Mylan. The end of the patent life of a lucrative product can often lead to significant legal strife as aspiring biosimilar equivalents jockey for exclusivity. We have found the recent aggressive move by Mylan noteworthy in our ongoing coverage of Teva’s recent struggles. On a separate but related note, the settlement between Amgen and Abbvie underscores the volatile nature of maneuvers conducted in order to extend the patent life of a highly successful product.
Sep 30, 2017
Amazon Casts a Large Shadow Over the Pharmacy Industry
Image Source:  Mike Mozart. It is our belief the food retailing industry is in the midst of widespread disruption with Amazon’s attempt to break into the supermarket game with its audacious purchase of Whole Foods. The Whole Foods acquisition is not likely to be an isolated one-off event; instead, it may be a harbinger of Amazon’s ambition to break into new markets, thus expanding its overall percentage of retail sales. We update our views on Amazon and how the company may eventually impact newsletter portfolio holding CVS Health.



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